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Oil and Natural Gas Supply
Simulation of CO2 Flooding Performance




Simulation of CO2 Flooding in Small Algal Mounds Demonstrates Cost-Effectiviness in Increasing Oil Recovery

By William Culham, REGA, Inc; Douglas M. Lorenz, Texaco, E&P (formerly of REGA); and Thomas C. Chidsey, Jr., Utah Geological Survey

Phase I for this DOE Class II project, entitled "Increased Oil Production Utilizing Secondary/ Tertiary Recovery Techniques on Small Reservoirs in the Paradox Basin, Utah," was designed to characterize five shallow-shelf carbonate reservoirs in the Pennsylvanian (Desmoinesian) Paradox Formation and choose the best candidate for a pilot demonstration for either a waterflood or carbon dioxide (CO2) flood project. Phase I also included reservoir simulations, economic assessments, and recommendations for Phase II, which will be a pilot CO2-flood field demonstration. Phase I was completed August 31, 1998. Phase II began on September 1, 1998, and will run through August 31, 2002. The Phase II field demonstration, monitoring of field performance, and associated validation activities will take place in the Paradox Basin of southeastern Utah within the Navajo Nation.

PROJECT BACKGROUND AND SUMMARY
The principal objectives of the study are to develop detailed quantitative descriptions of shallow-shelf carbonate buildups (algal mounds) and use these descriptions, coupled with composition simulation, to predict the performance of the reservoirs in the mound complexes under three different reservoir recovery processes. The three processes are: primary depletion, CO2 flooding, and waterflooding. The economic feasibility of implementing one or more recovery processes was also investigated.
Figure 1 Location of project fields (dark shaded areas with names in
bold type) in southwestern Paradox Basin in the Navajo Nation, San Juan
County, Utah.

Compositional simulation studies were conducted for Anasazi and Runway Fields (Figure 1). The results indicate that CO2 flooding is the only technically feasible recovery process suitable for these reservoirs. Based on this conclusion, CO2-flood implementation costs were developed. Implementation costs in conjunction with reservoir production and injection performance predictions were used to complete a suite of economic assessment studies. One of the CO2-implementation options studied provided the best economic return: a continuous CO2-injection case utilizing reinjection of unprocessed produced gas, a leased main injection compressor, and DOE cost share. This option in the Anasazi Field provides a before-tax net present value (NPV) of more than $5.9 million using a 10 percent discount rate, and a before-tax rate of return (ROR) of 32 percent on a total investment of $2.7 million. The profitability index (PI) of this particular implementation was determined to be 10.4 to 1.0. For Runway Field, before-tax NPV, discounted at 10 percent per year, is more than $3.1 million, and the before-tax ROR is 30 percent on a total investment of $2.79 million. The PI of this particular implementation was determined to be 5.0 to 1.0.

The study's predicted CO2-flood responses, and the associated economics, support the extension of the overall shallow-shelf carbonate evaluation program to Phase II.

RESERVE AND RECOVERY DETERMINATIONS FOR PROJECT FIELDS
Primary recovery and original oil in place (OOIP - Table 1) were determined for the project fields from volumetric reserve calculations, material balance calculations, and decline curve extrapolations, as well as refined geologic characterization. These volumetric calculations were made by evaluating well logs and reservoir areal extent (as defined by seismic reflection data), coupled with reservoir geometry. Material balance and decline curve calculations utilized the field's production and pressure histories. Knowing the OOIP and the primary recovery, the amount of oil left behind was calculated. Lastly, utilizing the results from the simulation studies of Anasazi and Runway Fields, sweep efficiencies for CO2 flooding and the ultimate enhanced recovery were estimated for all project fields (Table 1). Using the average predicted oil recovery of 71.8 percent (percent recovery of oil remaining in place after primary recovery) for the Runway and Anasazi reservoirs, the projected addition to reserves if CO2 is also applied to project fields is over 8.2 million stock tank barrels (STB) of oil.


ECONOMIC ASSESSMENT OF CO2 FLOOD, ANASAZI FIELD
Phase II will implement and complete a CO2 flood in the Anasazi reservoir. Using reservoir-simulation-based performance predictions and current CO2-flood implementation costs, detailed economic assessments were conducted for a number of different CO2-flood options. These sets of studies indicated that:

    1. A CO2 flood of the Anasazi reservoir has robust economics. With DOE participation, the project would have a ROR of 62 percent, a payout of 35 months, a PI of 15 to 1, and a discounted (10 percent) NPV in excess of $12.5 million. Even without DOE participation, the economics remain robust with a ROR of 48 percent, a payout of 39 months, a PI of 8 to 1, and a discounted NPV of over $11.0 million. The capital requirements would be $3.146 million.
    2. Leasing the compressor on a five-year contract basis is better economically than purchasing the compressor. Leasing improves the NPV by approximately $1 million.
    3. The benefit from separating CO2 from the produced gas so the hydrocarbons can be used for fuel and sales is offset by the large capital investment required for a CO2 membrane separation facility. Thus, re-injection of all produced gas without processing is economically more attractive than implementing a CO2 flood with gas processing.
    4. The difference between minimum and maximum cost options for installation of flow/injection lines and the CO2 supply is approximately $1.0 million; however, the economics are positive for both options. With DOE cost sharing, the ROR is 56 percent with a PI of 11.5 to 1.
    5. The ROR and PI are not significantly different for a process using blowdown after six years of CO2 injection versus the continuous CO2 injection case. However, the NPV is substantially less with blowdown (approximately $1.4 million). The lower NPV is a result of lower oil recovery for the blowdown case (800,000 STB less than the continuous injection case).

Production data and injection gas requirements, including CO2 make-up purchases, were used to assess the financial merits of a CO2 flood with a total injection rate of 8 million cubic feet of gas per day commencing January 1, 2000. The economic assessment, using two compressor options, was conducted assuming the following conditions: (1) leased compressor (option 1, $19,500; option 2, $23,500 [same compressor with a different engine]), (2) CO2 supply line construction using the minimum costs option ($825,000), (3) no gas processing, and (4) cost sharing by DOE. This assessment demonstrates that CO2 flooding provides both an adequate flood response with either of the compressor options, an acceptable economic ROR of 32 percent, and a payout of 36 months. A discounted (10 percent) NPV of $5.9 million could be realized by implementing a CO2 flood under the proposed conditions.

If the CO2 flood performs as predicted, it is a financially beneficial process for increasing the reserves of the Anasazi reservoir; however, the ROR and NPV are very sensitive to oil prices (Figures 2 and 3). Therefore, the economic assumption should be recalculated before installation of injection facilities.


Figure 2 Rate of return versus price of oil, Anasazi Field CO2
flood, at high rate.


Figure 3 Net present value versus price of oil, Anasazi field CO2
flood, at high rate.

RECOMMENDATIONS
Based on the results of the completed geologic study, reservoir performance predictions, and the associated economic assessment of implementing a CO2 flood in the Anasazi reservoir, the following production scenario is recommended:
    1. A CO2-injection project should be implemented in the Anasazi reservoir.
    2. A field injectivity test using CO2 should be conducted on the Anasazi No. 6H-1 well, a project well in the western part of the field, to establish long-term injection rate data before committing to further Phase II work.
    3. After the CO2 source is obtained for Anasazi Field, the economic assumption should be recalculated to see if the project is still economically feasible at current prices.
    4. The main injection compressor should be leased rather than purchased to provide the most operating flexibility and least financial risk.
    5. Produced gas processing is not required for a single-field CO2-flood implementation case. It is not required from a reservoir processing standpoint, nor is it justified economically.
    6. Horizontal well injectivity should be predicted from the appropriate well-test models after calibration with vertical well-test data.

CONCLUSIONS
Phase I of the project showed that a CO2 flood was technically superior to a waterflood and was economically feasible. For Anasazi Field, an optimized CO2 flood is predicted to recover 4.21 million STB of oil. This represents an increase of 1.65 million STB of oil over predicted primary depletion recovery by January 1, 2012. The projected 4.21 million STB of oil production represents about 90 percent of the OOIP in the mound complex and 37 percent of the OOIP of the total system modeled.

The field demonstration will include: conducting a CO2 injection test(s), obtaining a CO2 source and fuel gas for the compressor, recalculating project economics, drilling a development well(s) (vertically or horizontally), purchasing and installing injection facilities, monitoring field performance, and validation and evaluation of the techniques. Such a demonstration should prove (or disprove) CO2-flood viability, and thus help determine whether the technique can be applied to numerous small carbonate-buildup reservoirs in the Paradox Basin and similar reservoirs in other basins throughout the U.S.

The Class Act Winter 2000 Edition Volume 6/1